Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.096615 0.111727 0.128412 0.148199 0.171027 0.196541 0.227230
2025-12-14 0.071042 0.090816 0.114891 0.146358 0.186418 0.235747 0.301170
2025-12-21 0.058545 0.080258 0.108554 0.148131 0.202094 0.273176 0.374082
2025-12-28 0.051769 0.075132 0.107318 0.154892 0.223489 0.318950 0.462191
2026-01-04 0.045953 0.070070 0.104930 0.158986 0.240797 0.360194 0.548161
2026-01-11 0.041232 0.065714 0.102658 0.162456 0.256965 0.400884 0.637403
2026-01-18 0.036903 0.061240 0.099437 0.163734 0.269456 0.436824 0.722887
2026-01-25 0.032621 0.056201 0.094584 0.161580 0.275857 0.463394 0.795793
2026-02-01 0.028457 0.050778 0.088372 0.156263 0.276111 0.479525 0.852549
2026-02-08 0.026218 0.048356 0.086856 0.158648 0.289544 0.518862 0.953078
2026-02-15 0.024003 0.045681 0.084549 0.159264 0.299736 0.553340 1.048367
2026-02-22 0.022273 0.043676 0.083182 0.161353 0.312681 0.593820 1.158716
2026-03-01 0.019981 0.040372 0.079118 0.158043 0.315363 0.616123 1.238209
2026-03-08 0.018114 0.037681 0.075930 0.156072 0.320430 0.643526 1.330927
2026-03-15 0.016887 0.036126 0.074769 0.157963 0.333310 0.687356 1.461287
2026-03-22 0.016314 0.035855 0.076142 0.165171 0.357820 0.756947 1.652463
2026-03-29 0.015510 0.034990 0.076181 0.169536 0.376757 0.816907 1.829695
2026-04-05 0.014715 0.034046 0.075937 0.173236 0.394607 0.876300 2.012109
2026-04-12 0.013798 0.032720 0.074713 0.174599 0.407371 0.925892 2.177930
2026-04-19 0.012692 0.030827 0.072020 0.172303 0.411521 0.956712 2.303959
2026-04-26 0.011461 0.028495 0.068074 0.166633 0.407161 0.967686 2.384442
2026-05-03 0.010886 0.027687 0.067593 0.169176 0.422629 1.026187 2.585514
2026-05-10 0.010240 0.026628 0.066398 0.169833 0.433549 1.074953 2.767914